Epeus' epigone

Edifying exquisite equine entrapments

Friday, 24 March 2006

AjaxWrite - a huge missed opportunity

So Michael Robertson has introduced AjaxWrite as a web-based word-processor. Nice idea, except what formats does it save to?
MS Word, RTF, Text and PDF.
How about HTML+CSS - it's how you're displaying the damn thing to me after all - how hard is it to store it in that format?
This is not a new question - after all CSS is more capable than Word's internal styling.
How about a Document Microformat? We can call it HTML for short.

Technorati Tags: AJAX, AjaxWrite, meme, Michael Robertson, microformats, Word

Posted by Kevin Marks at 15:39 No comments:

Wednesday, 22 March 2006

Deal or No Deal

David Hornik wrote a post comparing VC and buyouts to the TV show Deal or No Deal.

Now, my sons like watching this show, and I don't mind as it is a great lesson in probability. The expected value is pretty easy to calculate (sum of remaining amounts divided by number of remaining suitcases), so you have an objective valuation to compare the banker's offer against. Doing the calculation in your head isn't that hard, as you only need to sum up the top few amounts — lower ones don't significantly affect the outcome. The offers from the banker are consistently below the actual expected value, until they get down to a small number of cases.

At it's core, this program is in the same Greek God model of reality TV I have discussed before; unlike "Who Wants to be a Millionaire", which has a skill element alongside the "stop or continue" calculation, it is playing on the fact that knowledge of probability is not something that has been evolutionarily selected for, and thus needs to be painstakingly learned (if you doubt this, look at the city that probability built, Las Vegas). This reveals itself in Howie Mandel saying flagrantly untrue things like "there is a good chance you have a million dollars in your case" when there are 20 left, and so the chance is 5%, and indeed in the way the producers seem to be trying hard to get someone to win a million (which is hugely unlikely given the game's form, as when you are left with 2 cases, the buyout offer is very easy to calculate) - to the point where they are adding in cases with $2 million and $3 million in.

So how does this fit with Hornik's analogy? One thing that is clear is that if there isn't an objective way to value what you have, it helps if there is more than one banker to make you offers. If it is just Google, Yahoo or Microsoft, then the entrepreneurs may be in a take it or leave it situation, but if there are competing bidders, they have a better chance. It is this that makes sense of the otherwise inexplicable flotation of a public company of ex-Apple execs with no products or services, who want to buy up companies using IP.

PS If you look at the Deal or No Deal application form, it makes it very clear that watching you and your family and friends agonise over the decisions is the whole point of the show, and interestingly, alongside questions about criminal convictions also asks:

Have you ever created a website or posted any materials on any website? YES NO (Circle One) If YES, describe the website(s) you created and/or the materials you posted.


Have you appeared in any magazines, publicly disseminated photographs, advertisements or the Internet?





Technorati Tags: television, VC, Venture Capital

Posted by Kevin Marks at 11:04 No comments:

Tuesday, 21 March 2006

Microformats and Microsoft

Bill Gates endorsed Microformats at Mix '06 yesterday. Here's the clip in Windows Media format, and QuickTime format (thanks Brian).
Transcript:

BILL GATES:Everything we do here has to be incredibly flexible, because you're going to be doing your own sites, you might want things that are specific to your industry that, of course, Microsoft isn't going to have those things, so you need total flexibility because you're addressing all the different layers of the stack there.

And so all the interoperability standards here, whether it was XML to start with that we were a key part of giving that out as a standard, then the SOAP-level stuff, now we've moved up to a variety of techniques including Web services, all of those things are out there and free for people to use. Even the recent stuff that Ray has done about the simple list extensions, Live Clipboard, that's connecting up to everyone.

TIM O'REILLY: That's true, that stuff really wowed people when he demoed it at our e-Tech Conference. I thought, you know, this whole idea of the semantic Web is actually starting to happen in small ways with microformats, and I thought the fact that Ray picked up on that was really nice, he got a really great response from the geeks who were my audience.

BILL GATES: Well, I think his analogy that we've been exchanging data and had some standard formats within a machine, that he now would take that to, okay, let's exchange between different Web sites, it's going to take the idea of contact cards, scheduled appointments, set of directions, all these things where we move standard schema, we need microformats that people agree on, it's going to let that bootstrap. Because the more those things become standard, the more other Web sites choose them, and therefore the more popular they become.

TIM O'REILLY: Right, so that you get the network effects that really allow us to weave applications together.

BILL GATES: Right. And it's all very market driven. If some format is too rigid, then nobody is locked into that, somebody can come along and do something completely different.


It's great to see the work we've been doing on Microformats being picked up. Here's me telling Ray Ozzie about them less than a year ago: Windows Media format.




Technorati Tags: Bill Gates, meme, microformats, microsoft, Mix06, Tim O'Reilly, web 2.0

Posted by Kevin Marks at 15:41 No comments:

Tuesday, 14 March 2006

Memetic co-option




Podcast Delivered
Originally uploaded by Mermaniac.

At eTech (and apparently at SXSW too), Bruce Sterling spoke about the power of names in forming our mental representations of things. The example that leapt to mind is 'Podcasting', and seeing this AT&T billboard today brought it home for me.
When we were talking about 'automatically downloading audioblogs' it took lengthy explanations for people to grasp it at all, but now radio stations and legacy telcos can blithely throw the word around and people get it at once.

Before the iPod appeared, the idea of a personal music library had been around for a while, notably in Bruce's Heavy Weather (1994):

Jane turned on the radio, heard a great deal of encrypted traffic from banks, navigation beacons, and hams, and turned it off again. Funny what had happened to the broadcast radio spectrum. She turned on the car's music box. It held every piece of music that had ever meant anything to her, including stuff form her early childhood that she'd never managed to erase. Even with sixteen-digit digital precision, everything she'd ever recorded took up only a few hundred megabytes, the merest sliver in the cavernous memory of a modern music box.

Jane played some Thai pop music, cheerful energetic bonging and strumming. There'd been a time, back in design school, when Thai pop music had meant a lot to her. When it seemed that a few dozen wild kids in Bangkok were the last people on earth who really knew what it meant to have some honest fun. She'd never figured out why this lovely burst of creativity had happened in Bangkok. With AIDS still methodically eating its way into the vast carcass of Asia, Bangkok certainly wasn't happier than most other places. Apparently the late 2020s had just somehow been Bangkok's global moment to shine. It was genuinely happy music, bright, clever music, like a gift tooth world. It felt so new and fresh, and she'd listened to it and felt in her bones what it meant to be a woman of the 2020s, alive inside, and aware inside.

It was 2031 now. The music was distant now, like a whiff of good rice wine at the bottom of an empty bottle. It still touched something inside her, but it didn't touch all of her. It didn't touch all the new parts.


Or in Richard Turnnidge's 1991 mockup of an interactive radio player. Sometimes ideas take a while to accrete enough cultural baggage to be built.




Technorati Tags: 1991, 2006, etech, iPod, meme, podcasting, SXSW

Posted by Kevin Marks at 16:07 No comments:

Tuesday, 7 March 2006

Ray Ozzie's microformat clipboard

Last night at eTech, I was chatting with Rohit and Chris about microformats browser integration. With our Microformats talk today coming up, Rohit said something like "our hCard and hCalendar demos work great on the Mac, but they don't get stuff into Outlook on Windows".

This morning, Ray Ozzie demoed his Live Web clipboard. This gives a way to add a scissors button to webpages to copy structured data out, and a system tray app to translate to and from the native clipboard.

This means you can take hCalendar and hCard data from the web into Outlook, into MSN's Live calendar application, and connect other apps data into and out of the browser in a nice user-obvious way. Great stuff.

Technorati Tags: etech, etech06, meme, microformat, microformats, microsoft

Posted by Kevin Marks at 13:05 No comments:

Friday, 3 March 2006

Sometimes it is Rocket Science...

Michael Mealling works for a company that makes space rockets, and he has an idea for your next science fair - how about sending a kilogram into space and back for $250?

If that sounds intriguing, they have a survey for schools (and homeschools) to fill in to see if they can get enough people together to fill a 100kg payload rocket.

Technorati Tags: education, homeschool, rocket science, science fair, space

Posted by Kevin Marks at 16:23 No comments:

Thursday, 2 March 2006

AT&T and Suw illustrate my point below

AT&T paid millions to run an ad that emphasises the wires in the network.
If they do their job right, we are unaware of the wires.

Conversely, Suw of ORG speaks clearly and coherently to DRI for 40 minutes on the threats to an open net. This is well worth watching - I learnt a lot and I've been trying to follow these issues myself.

This also illustrates the deeper point - the net can as easily bring us video from a small group of thoughtful and engaged people as from a trillion-dollar corporation. The head of AT&T wants to take back the pipes from the open net, and stop us putting up video without paying them extra.

Senator Ron Wyden introduced an Internet Nondiscrimination Bill today, which sounds encouraging.

Here's my parody of the AT&T ad - with narration changed to say what they mean.


PS A tip for Google videos in general. The default Flash player looks ratty and has trouble maintaining sync. Click on the 'Download for iPod' mpeg4 version and play that in VLC, iTunes or QuickTime Player. Why Google won't let us fast-start these I don't know.

Technorati Tags: Digital Commonwealth, digital rights, Live TV is Dead, movie, Open Rights Group, ORG, politics, rhetoric, video

Posted by Kevin Marks at 21:51 No comments:

Monday, 27 February 2006

DRM wisdom and Tag dreams

John Scalzi explains why he, Patrick Nielsen Hayden and Tor will not be putting DRM on their e-Books. Great to see authors and publishers being smart here, and not falling for the DRM traps.
Stavros the Wonderchicken is thinking about how tags can grow into virtual worlds.

Technorati Tags: auctorial, digital rights, DRM, tags, writing

Posted by Kevin Marks at 22:30 No comments:

Tiered versus Weird

I have made this contrast before, and I think it is another key framing distinction in the net debate.
Internet cloudNetwork engineers draw the Internet as a cloud, because it doesn't matter to endpoints how the packets get there. The packets get routed, but the protocols are designed to cope with messiness, with buffers overflowing, and computers crashing, and wires being unplugged or ripped up by backhoes. This is the mental model the end-to-end principle encourages - the net is just where packets come from and go to, and has a big 'Somebody Else's Problem' field around it. This is one place where engineers and normal people converge - they don't think about how stuff gets there, they just enter a website or email or IM address and there they are.
Internet thought balloonBy contrast, telco's and networking providers, naturally, do see the wires and the complexity, because that's what they do. They can't use the SEP method, so they fall back on thinking hierarchically, which is another way of coping with complexity. This contributes to the difficulty of getting the open network argument across to governments - the hierarchic frame is a good fit for their default approach to organisation and information flow, so regulatory capture is a likely outcome.
There are countervailing ideas in political thought across the political spectrum, from commons theory to anti-trust and deregulation. The immense success of WiFi's tiny slice of free spectrum is promising, but as Doc, Eric and Mitch and Jon point out, the attack on net neutrality is building. We need to keep trying out metaphors of openness and freedom, invisible hands and co-operation, until we find one that fits.

Technorati Tags: caliban, Digital Commonwealth, digital rights, ethics, meme, Open Rights Group, ORG, politics, rhetoric

Posted by Kevin Marks at 19:30 1 comment:

Friday, 24 February 2006

Internet regeneration

The internet is up for debate again. I'd like to connect the thoughts of 3 smart women and one dead white male.

What I see is a generational divide - there is my generation, who built the internet; the protocols, the applications and are filling it with our thoughts and ramblings. For this generation, I'd claim Douglas Adams, whose 1999 essay I keep returning to. Do go read the whole thing; I'm going to cite a small part of it today:

we are still the first generation of users, and for all that we may have invented the net, we still don't really get it. In The Language Instinct, Stephen Pinker explains the generational difference between pidgin and creole languages. A pidgin language is what you get when you put together a bunch of people — typically slaves — who have already grown up with their own language but don't know each others'. They manage to cobble together a rough and ready lingo made up of bits of each. It lets them get on with things, but has almost no grammatical structure at all.

However, the first generation of children born to the community takes these fractured lumps of language and transforms them into something new, with a rich and organic grammar and vocabulary, which is what we call a Creole. Grammar is just a natural function of children's brains, and they apply it to whatever they find.

The same thing is happening in communication technology. Most of us are stumbling along in a kind of pidgin version of it, squinting myopically at things the size of fridges on our desks, not quite understanding where email goes, and cursing at the beeps of mobile phones. Our children, however, are doing something completely different.

danah boyd has been talking to our children, the MySpace generation, who have grown up with pervasive networking, and are making it their own place, a parallel world interwoven into their real-world lives:

What we're seeing right now is a cultural shift due to the introduction of a new medium and the emergence of greater restrictions on youth mobility and access. The long-term implications of this are unclear. Regardless of what will come, youth are doing what they've always done - repurposing new mediums in order to learn about social culture.

Technology will have an effect because the underlying architecture and the opportunities afforded are fundamentally different. But youth will continue to work out identity issues, hang out and create spaces that are their own, regardless of what technologies are available.


Suw Charman, of the Open Rights Group, spoke at the RSA on the internet golden age this week (there is a full mp3 recording of the debate). I'm extracting Suw's conclusion:

Our hope is in teenagers, because they have grown up with the internet in a way that none of us have. For them this is all second nature - they will route round the damage that is done, but we have to make sure there is not too much damage for them to try and heal.

Susan Crawford, of OneWebDay, wrote a discussion of framing that talks of the founding fathers who say the Internet is a collection of standards that allow the networking of computers, the users who say the Internet is the collection of interactions and relationships that happen online, and contrasts them with the telcos who say that "the Internet" is about cables and connections that they charge for.

This leads us to a different generation, the politicians and incumbent executives who have prospered in a narrow culture of favours exchanged behind closed doors, of regulatory creation of monopoly rents, and who look at the next two generations with fear. It is up to us to make sure that the dynamic spontaneous orders that are continually being created with the Internet's help are not choked off by a backlash from the old order.

My generation draws the Internet as a cloud that connects everyone; the younger generation experiences it as oxygen that supports their digital lives. The old generation sees this as a poisonous gas that has leaked out of their pipes, and they want to seal it up again. This is why we need to fight for our spontaneous orders.

Ultimately, I believe the our more open way will succeed through it's very creative, positive-sum nature, but that does not mean we should complacently stand by.



Technorati Tags: caliban, Digital Commonwealth, digital rights, ethics, meme, Open Rights Group, ORG, politics, rhetoric

Posted by Kevin Marks at 23:07 No comments:

Thursday, 23 February 2006

Simple rule - if you write, get a blog

Today's flash of the bleedin' obvious was that blogs by writers tend to work well. On the face of it, this is a banal observation, but finding the blog by the Grey's Anatomy writers, and Malcolm Gladwell's new blog, reminded me that anyone who writes professionally, who writes because they love it, and can't help but write, should get themselves a blog, so we can all share in the flow of ideas.

After all, just on my favorite's list I have Gaiman, Sessum, Scalzi, Charman, the Nielsen Haydens, Searls, Weinberger and Locke.

It may seem that you lot have a bit of an unfair advantage, but us amateurs do appreciate your good writing and try to learn from you.

Technorati Tags: auctorial, blink, blogs, writing

Posted by Kevin Marks at 23:56 No comments:

Wednesday, 22 February 2006

Always good to see trailing edge adoption

Michael O'Connor Clarke tries out podcasting.
Posted by Kevin Marks at 11:54 No comments:

Tuesday, 21 February 2006

Technorati Favourites

Long-time blog readers will notice a small change in my layout today - a new box in my sidebar showing recent posts from my favorite blogs.
More interesting for me, is that I can now search just within these, which can be very handy for those 'where did I read that?' questions.

Try it out, read about it on the Technorati blog and let us know what you think.

You can even favour me:Add to Technorati Favorites!



Technorati Tags: favorite, favourite, search, technorati

Posted by Kevin Marks at 17:46 No comments:

Saturday, 11 February 2006

Northern Voice Live

The Conference was lots of fun and very interesting. I did a live bootleg webcast for remote people. It was initially poor quality, because my iSight mic is broken, but Roland Tanglao lent me his.

I webcast and recorded this afternoon:
February 11, 2006 - 3-4pm - Geek Out session - at UBC Campus, Vancouver
Myself, Robert Scoble and Will Pate on Social Software at its newest (and geekiest).

But only the Audio was recorded, not the video, so it may not make much sense. Here's the Geek Out Audio and here are the Canadian Blogs Power Law animations I showed towards the end (click on the first one for the different stages)





Technorati Tags: audio, Canada, Northern Voice, power law

Posted by Kevin Marks at 08:45 No comments:

Thursday, 2 February 2006

UK Parliament DRM hearing today - too many calls to replace jurisprudence by software

The APIG inquiry into DRM had it's public hearing today.
Suw Charman, as well as presenting for the Open Rights Group, also took phenomenally extensive notes
A few selected quotes, focused on the 'code as law' and 'missing leeway' aspects of DRM:

From my previous submission:



The second principle is the core one of jurisprudence - that due process is a requirement before punishment. I know the Prime Minister has defended devolving summary justice to police constables, but the DRM proponents want to devolve it to computers. The fine details of copyright law have been debated and redefined for centuries, yet the DRM advocates assert that the same computers you wouldn't trust to check your grammar can somehow substitute for the entire legal system in determining and enforcing copyright law.


Each computers' immanent ability to become any kind of machine and the copying of data that happens as part of this, leads the DRM advocates naturally to the point where they want to outlaw computers, or to take them over by stealth, using virus-like techniques.


The reductio ad absurdum of this is to privilege DRM implementers in law above the owners of the computers on which their software runs, without their effective consent. Sadly, this is exactly what is being demanded by the publishers' lobby.



Suw for ORG:



DRM over-enforces the law. It reaches beyond the copy restrictions enshrined in copyright law; restricts fair and legitimate uses of legally acquired materials; and sometimes revokes or reduces ‘rights’ after purchase. It destroys the balance between private interest and public good and damages the public shared culture in our libraries.


DRM limits consumer’s ability to enjoy legitimately purchased materials and punishes behaviour seen by the majority as normal. The industry’s pushes towards more restrictive legislation will serve to do nothing more than criminalise more people. Yet the lawsuits which will clog the courts will do nothing to change people’s behaviour, because they believe what they are doing is fair and reasonable.



PACT:



Q: If the public understood that DRM was to manage piracy, maybe they’d understand, but they see it as restricting private use. How do you reconcile that?


A: Balance between what people perceive they are entitled to do, and what they actually are. In the past, rights holders have ignored some usage, because it didn’t harm them. But with digital technology, it is damaging, and a new contract needs to be reached with the consumer so they understand what they can and can’t do.



This explicitly states the 'we get to decide what the law is' problem of DRM enforcement.

Simon Wheeler (Beggars Banquet):



As one of the only content owners at this session, we’ve had several licences with insecure businesses and our physical businesses has grown. We choose not to copy protect our CDs, in that we are trying to build trust with the audience, and build loyalty, and in return they respect our rights. Instead of trying to lock things down, which we don’t believe is acceptable, we are trying to go down the third way of building that trust. Companies that do try to lock down music on to CD, and the Sony-BMG rootkit is the most notorious example, and we think they are hurting the business as a whole. We have an obligation to deliver music to our users and consumers, and if we don’t make it available to them they will get it any way possible.


There’s a wide range of opinions throughout the industry and sometimes what you’re hearing and seeing, the loudest voice, is not representative of the industry.



Audible:



Q: What happens if DRM comes under attack from consumers?


A: We have a proprietary DRM system, we can set the rules, it’s very flexible. But it is fair to say that if we were in a position that we were not able to distribute content with DRM we would have no business.



Note who sets the rules (hint, it's not 300 years of common law precedent in copyright law).

Q: Problem for libraries, is they need to get access after the DRM has become obsolete, and after copyright expired. Could you see a method enabling that?


A: If you’re a library, you want a database of everything that’s ever been recorded and there’s no reason why that can’t be made available to the publc. I would object, however, if they had all our books and made them available in the clear to the public.



Call me old-fashioned, but I thought that was the definition of a library.


Q: Your DRM helps the customer behave legally?

A: Well there’s been some discussion that the consumers don’t understand what their legal rights are, and that there are accepted practices. Benefits of DRM is that it allow people to do what they are allowed to do and no more, so they don’t need to know what the law is.



Again, the assertion that a) copyright law has hard edges and b) that computers can enforce it. Remarkable.

Publishers Association, Periodical Publishers Association:



Q: You can see why noninteroperabilties would be a commercial benefit to some parts of the chain. Is the driving force going to be interoperability?


A: We share some views with the Open Rights Group. Suw highlighted the problems of some companies locking people into to some platforms, but then you made the point of what if the customer rejects this DRM by not buying. In a sense that is the solution. It’s proper that customers should be able to say ‘I don’t like this, I won’t buy it’. That’s a right that the customer has, and industry can create several business models and one will succeed.


We are committed to interoperability and the key is open standards. As an industry we’re opposed to allowing any one tech interest to become a gatekeeper, who can impose themselves between us and our customers.



Louise Ferguson(?) consumer:



As more consumers, and we’re not just consumers, we are citizens who create our own content. Offcom recognises that consumers are creators, but all the systems we see at the moment deny this fact, and any approach to future policy should accept that we are not just passive consumers of corporate content.



FIPR - Ross Anderson:



Someone remarked that the industries [? indies] are getting more power, and I suspect this is because the indies have higher internal rate of return, because they are smaller, and this is more in line with artist aspirations, and this lines up with the public, selling for more money with more rights given to the consumer, rather than cheaper with less rights that the majors do.


Q: What can we do with legislation?

A: Revisit the contract terms legislation, because people have to sign EULAs. Also, look at fruit of the poisoned tree clauses, e.g. clause 42 of the patent act. So you could have a rule saying that you lose your legal protection if your DRM abuses people’s rights.


That would be feasible under current framework.




Now that would be a good restraint on the enforcement over-reach discussed above.

More information on previous submissions at the ORG wiki.





Technorati Tags: copyright, digital rights, Digital Commonwealth, DRM, law, Open Rights Group, ORG, politics

Posted by Kevin Marks at 21:41 No comments:
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